Hammerstone’s Early Look
By admin |
09/11/2019
Wednesday,
September 11, 2019
Futures
|
Up/Down
|
%
|
Last
|
DJ Industrials
|
38.00
|
0.14%
|
26,932
|
S&P 500
|
1.50
|
0.05%
|
2,980
|
Nasdaq
|
0.50
|
0.01%
|
7,815
|
Stock futures are up
slightly, catching a bid after reports that China plans to exempt 16 products
from the first round of extra tariffs on U.S. imports, according to Chinese
media reports, which will take effect September 17, citing the Customs Tariff Commission
of the State Council. While U.S. futures are only up a little on the reports,
markets overseas are outperforming as the Nikkei Index rose 205 points to
21,597, the Shanghai Index fell -12 points to close at 3,008 and the Hang Seng
Index jumped 475 points (1.78%) to settle at 27,159. In Europe, the German DAX
is higher by nearly 100-points to 12,365, while the FTSE 100is up over 60
points to 7,330. Note U.S. and Beijing negotiators are due to meet in
Washington in October for a fresh round of trade talks. Also, in Europe, shares
of the London Stock Exchange jumped after the Hong Kong Exchanges &
Clearing launched a surprise £29.6 billion, or 8,361 pence a share bid. Markets
also await central bank news as the European Central Bank meets on Thursday with
expectations of a package of easing measures to be announced. Note U.S. markets
were volatile again yesterday, but it was the obliteration of momentum and
year-to-date winning stocks that really stood out for a second day while beaten
up small cap stocks, metals, financials and energy names that underperformed
paced the market gains. One can point to this as: JPM’s head quant, Marko
Kolanovic wrote yesterday that the divergence observed last Friday with the
record performance gap between small and large companies, was an “all-time
extreme”, as JPM’s momentum indicator – a weighted average of 1, 3, 6 and
12M price momentum – of small cap stocks reached its maximal negative reading,
while the same indicator for the S&P 500 reached its maximal positive reading.
This divergence, as Kolanovic describes it, “has only occurred on two days
in history” and most recently was recorded on one day in February 1999
during the tech bubble – Zerohedge.com reported
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
- The S&P 500 Index inched higher 0.96 points, or 0.03%, to 2,979.39
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 73.92 points, or 0.28%, to 26,909.43
- The Nasdaq Composite slipped -3.28 points,
or 0.04%, to 8,084.16
- The Russell 2000 Index advanced 18.76 points, or 1.23% to 1,542.99
Events Calendar for Today
- 7:00 AM EST
MBA Mortgage Applications Data
- 8:30 AM EST
Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM for August…est. 0.0%
- 8:30 AM EST
PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) MoM for August…est. 0.2%
- 8:30 AM EST
PPI Final Demand YoY for August…est. 1.7%
- 8:30 AM EST
PPI (core) Ex: Food & Energy YoY for August…est. 2.2%
- 10:00 AM EST Wholesale
Inventories MoM for July…est. 0.2%
- 10:30 AM EST Weekly DOE
Inventory Data
Earnings Calendar:
- Earnings Before the Open: GFN, LOVE
- Earnings After the Close: OXM, STRM, TLRD
Other Key Events:
- Barclay’s Global Financial Services Conference,
9/9-9/11, in New York
- Credit Suisse 32nd Annual Basic Materials Conference,
9/9-9/11, in New York
- Deutsche Bank Technology Conference, 9/10-9/11,
in Las Vegas
- Morgan Stanley 17th Annual Healthcare
Conference, 9/9-9/11, in New York
- Morgan Stanley 7th Annual Laguna Conference,
9/11-9/13, in California
Macro
|
Up/Down
|
Last
|
WTI Crude
|
0.58
|
57.98
|
Brent
|
0.48
|
62.86
|
Gold
|
1.10
|
1,500.30
|
EUR/USD
|
-0.0029
|
1.1014
|
JPY/USD
|
0.21
|
107.75
|
10-Year Note
|
-0.019
|
1.712%
|
World News
- Investor Intelligence Poll showed equity
newsletter writers considered bullish further rebounds from a nearly
three-month low two weeks ago, rising to 50.0% up big from 44.9% last week and
43.9% the prior week; bearish sentiment dipped to 17.9% from two weeks at 18.7%
and those expecting a correction slips to 6-week low of 32.1% from 36.4% last
week and 37.4% prior
- Scottish court rules Boris Johnson’s
suspension of Parliament is unlawful, but does not order it to be reversed
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
- Dave & Buster’s (PLAY) shares fell
-9%; Q2 EPS 90c/$344.6M vs. est. 84c/$344.29M; Q2 comp sales fell -1.8% vs.
est. -0.7% and reports number of stores increased 11.1% to 130 from 117; lowers
FY comps to -2% to -3.5%, from prior view -1.5% to +0.5% and lowers FY net
income to $91M-$100M from $103M-$113M prior; said it has expanded share
repurchase authorization by $200M to $800M
- GameStop (GME) shares fell -12%; Q2
adjusted EPS loss (32c) vs. est. loss (19c); Q2 comp sales fell -11.6% vs. est.
-9.4%; guides year EPS $1.15-$1.30 below the $1.57 est.; sees year capex
$90M-$95M and sees FY19 comparable store sales declining in the low-teens
- RH (RH) rises 4%; Q2 adjusted EPS
$3.20/$706.5M above est. $2.70/$697.77M; raises FY adj revs to $2.68B-$2.694B
from $2.65B-$2.67B (est. $2.67B), sees FY adj operating margin 13.6-13.8% (had
seen 12.9%-13.4%), while raises year EPS to $10.53-$10.76 from
$9.08-$9.52 (est. $9.44); says doesn’t expect current China tariffs to impair
ability to achieve stated financial goals
- Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON) said it
plans to charge $26 to $29 for shares in its initial public offering, which
would raise up to $1.16 billion at a valuation of up to $8 billion
- Philip Morris (PM) raises quarterly
dividend to $1.17 per share from $1.14 per share
Energy, Industrials & Materials
- OPEC lowered its forecast of world oil demand
in 2019 to growth of 1.02 million barrels a day in its monthly report, citing
weaker-than-expected data in the first half from various global demand centers
and slower economic growth projections for the remainder of the year. It also
lowered its 2020 world oil demand view, seeing growth of 1.08 million barrels a
day
- The American Petroleum Institute (API)
reported that U.S. crude supplies fell by 7.2 million barrels for the week, also
showed a stockpile decline of 4.5 million barrels in gasoline, while distillate
supplies rose by 618,000 barrels
- General Electric Co. (GE) said it plans
to sell millions of shares in spinoff Baker Hughes (BHGE) and will no
longer control the majority of shares in the company. Baker Hughes that GE and
other affiliates plan to sell 105 million shares in an underwritten secondary
offering, and sell $250 million in stock back to Baker Hughes.
- Cenovus Energy (CVE) files up to $5B
mixed securities shelf
- Alcoa (AA) upgraded to Outperform from
Neutral at Credit Suisse
- Copper prices fell after a sharp fall in
Chinese auto sales underlined fears of weaker demand from the world’s largest
consumer of metals. Concerns over China’s economic outlook outweighed any optimism
from a decision by Beijing to exempt some U.S. goods from additional tariffs —
potentially easing tensions in a damaging trade dispute -Reuters
Financials
- The London Stock Exchange has received a
surprise £29.6bn takeover offer from Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing — a bid
that threatens the UK group’s £20bn-plus acquisition of US data provider
Refinitiv. https://bit.ly/2kDTlQk
- Franklin Resources, Inc. (BEN) reported
preliminary month-end assets under management of $690.6B at August 31, 2019,
compared to $709.5B at July 31, 2019 attributing the decline to net market
declines and moderate net outflows
- Farmer Bros. (FARM) Q4 EPS loss
(52c)/$142.05M vs. est. loss (19c)/$144.29M; Q4 adjusted Ebitda $3.9M vs. est. $5.2M;
announces appointment of Deverl Maserang as president, CEO and member of the
company’s board of directors effective Sept. 13 who succeeds Chris Mottern, who
has been interim CEO since May 2019
- Charles Schwab (SCHW) plans to cut about
600 jobs, about 3% of its staff, Wall Street Journal reports, citing an
attendee at a recent town hall with some employees
Healthcare
- Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (LXRX) and Sanofi
(SNY) terminated their alliance for the development and commercialization
of Zynquista and settled their disputes/Lexicon will regain rights to Zynquista
and assume responsibility for the worldwide development and commercialization
of Zynquista in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes with SNY paying Lexicon $260M
- T2 Biosystems (TTOO) said that healthcare
services provider Premier has awarded it a Breakthrough Technology contract
that extends discounted pricing for its T2Bacteria and T2Candida Panels to its
network of 4,000 U.S. hospitals and health systems. The contract went into
effect on September 1
- Celyad (CYAD) files to sell 2M ordinary
shares in a global offering
- Tilray (TLRY) files a mixed securities
shelf
Technology, Media & Telecom
- Zscaler (ZS) shares fell -15%; Q4 EPS
7c/$86.1M vs. est. 1c/$82.79M; said Q4 calculated billings grew 32% YoY to $125.8M
and deferred revenue grows 53% YoY to $251.2M; sees FY20 EPS 12c-15c on revs
$395M-$405M vs. est. 19c/$402.93M and guides FY20 calculated billings of
$490M-$500M
- Aspen Technology (AZPN) said its
financial reports for the quarters ended Sept. 30, 2018, Dec. 31, 2018 and
March 31, 2019, should not be relied upon as the company has identified some
errors in accounting.
- Lantronix (LTRX) Q4 EPS 3c/$10.15M vs.
est. 3c/$11.8M; sees Q1 EPS (3c)-0c and revs of $12M-$13M; sees FY20 Non-GAAP
EPS up at least 30% and sees FY20 revenue up at least 15%
- Federal Trade Commission (FTC) investigators
have been interviewing small businesses that sell products on Amazon.com
Inc. (AMZN) according to Bloomberg News, citing several attorneys and at
least one economist.
- Cloudflare (NET) sets IPO at 35M shares
with price range $12-$14, above prior price range of $10-$12
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